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Weekly Market Commentary

Adjusting The Sector Sails | Weekly Market Commentary | June 3, 2024
To say May was an eventful month for the market is an understatement. Investors navigated around the latter half of first-quarter earnings, a breakout to record highs for the broader market, elevated volatility across fixed income and currency markets, and a mixed bag of economic data — not to mention elevated political uncertainty stemming from the conviction of former President Donald Trump. Overall, markets shrugged off political uncertainty, bad economic data was mostly taken as good news for stocks by reviving hope for interest rate cuts, while good news helped write the goldilocks narrative of economic conditions being just right.

Earnings Are Doing Their Part | Weekly Market Commentary | May 28, 2024
The first quarter earnings season is largely in the books, and it was excellent. In fact, S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) would have been up double digits in the quarter if not for a big loss Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) absorbed in an acquisition.

How’s it Going? Depends on Who You Ask | Weekly Market Commentary | May 20, 2024
Since millions of homeowners refinanced mortgages to extremely low rates a few years ago, the economy is less sensitive to interest rate policy. In fact, the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium sponsored by the Kansas City Federal Reserve in August will debate the effectiveness and transmission of monetary policy because of these post-COVID-19 dynamics, likely revealing important investment implications.
Recent Posts
Higher For Longer – Updating Our Treasury Forecast | Weekly Market Commentary | October 9, 2023
Prospects For a Fourth Quarter Rally | Weekly Market Commentary | October 2, 2023
Is India The New China? | Weekly Market Commentary | September 25, 2023
Buy Japan, Hold U.S., Sell Europe | Weekly Market Commentary | September 18, 2023
The Growing List -and Politicization- of BRICS and Friends | Weekly Market Commentary | September 11, 2023
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