LPL Research
Policy Crosscurrents: Potential Market Impacts | Weekly Market Commentary | September 23, 2024
Of course, last week’s headliner was Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting rates by a half percent on Wednesday, September 18, the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic broke out in 2020. The Fed “pause” ended at 423 days and now stands as the second-longest on record, while the 26% gain for the S&P 500 during the pause (7/27/23–9/18/24) ranks first. Here we share some thoughts on the Fed’s move last week and some potential market implications of not only Fed policy but also fiscal policy post-election.
Election Implications on the Municipal Market | Weekly Market Commentary | September 16, 2024
While there are still several months until the election is decided, the expectation is that regardless of who ultimately becomes our 47th president, the biggest loser could be the fiscal deficit. Per the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the U.S. government is expected to run sizable deficits over the next decade — to the tune of 5% – 7% of gross domestic product (GDP) each year. According to the CBO, the deficit increases significantly in relation to GDP over the next 30 years, reaching 8.5% of GDP in 2054.
Second Quarter Earnings Recap: Good, Not Great | Weekly Market Commentary | September 9, 2024
Second quarter numbers were quite good and generally in line with LPL Research’s expectations. In our earnings preview on July 1, we called for double-digit earnings growth and we got it — S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) grew nearly 12% in the quarter, or over 13% excluding a $9.1 billion write-down of media assets by Warner Brothers Discovery (WBD). Profit margins expanded quarter over quarter by a not insignificant 0.4%, indicating companies did a good job controlling costs.
Recent Posts
Key Themes for Stocks in the Second Half of 2024 | Weekly Market Commentary | July 15, 2024
Double-Digit Earnings Growth on Tap | Weekly Market Commentary | July 1, 2024
Artificial Intelligence: The Antidote To Fed Policy? | Weekly Market Commentary | June 24, 2024
Keep Calm And Clip Bond Coupons | Weekly Market Commentary | June 17, 2024
India At The Crossroads | Weekly Market Commentary | June 10, 2024
Categories
Work with Certified Industry Professional
Jerrí Hewett Miller CFP®, RICP, BFA
As Seen In
As Seen In
Are you seeking the confidence to move forward?
Schedule some time with us to talk and see if we’re a good fit for each other.
WEALTH HORIZON INC.
Office: (770) 840-8440
Email: lynn@wealthhorizoninc.com
Email: dan@wealthhorizoninc.com
Email: jerrí@wealthhorizoninc.com
200 Ashford Center North, Suite 400
Atlanta, GA 30338